Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/06/25
Monday 30 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -1.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% | |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
49.5 | 49.7 | 49.7 |
| 07:00 | 
|
Current Account |
|
-21.028Bln GB | -19.750Bln GB | -23.456Bln GB |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.3% | 3.3% | +1.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.1% | 0.5% | -1.6% |
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.0% | 0.2% | ||
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Tuesday 01 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
12 | 10 | |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
35 | 34 | |
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.4 | |||
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
32.8 | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.5% | 3.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.2 | 49.5 | ||
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 47.8 | 47.8 | ||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.0 | 49.0 | ||
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.3% | 6.4% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
34k | 15k | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.4 | 49.4 | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 47.7 | 47.7 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
48.5 | 48.8 |
Wednesday 02 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
-0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 5.9% | 6.0% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.2% | 6.2% | |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
37k | 85k | |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 46.1 | |||
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -5.836Mln |
Thursday 03 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 53.2 | 52.7 | ||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 48.7 | 48.7 | ||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 49.4 | 49.4 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 50.0 | 50.0 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 50.2 | 50.2 | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 51.3 | 51.3 | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
236k | 240k | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-61.6Bln US | -71.0Bln US | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-7.14Bln CA | -5.90Bln CA | |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
139k | 110k | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
49.9 | 50.5 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
46.4 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-3.7% | 8.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
50.0 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
50.7 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
68.7 |
Friday 04 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -1.4% | 0.4% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
3.70% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.70% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-2.2% | -0.6% |
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