Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 10/02/25


Monday 10 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.1%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 4.1%
Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment Chart -0.7% +0.1%

Tuesday 11 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Chart 3.1% +2.5%
ILO Unemployment Rate ILO Unemployment Rate Chart 7.4% 7.5% 7.3%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 4.1%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.1%

Wednesday 12 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.1%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 4.1%
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart -1.5% -7.1%
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.3% -0.2% -3.1%
CPI Year on Year (nsa) CPI Year on Year (nsa) Chart 2.9% 2.9% 3.0%
CPI Month on Month (sa) CPI Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   8.664Mln 3.028Mln 4.070Mln

Thursday 13 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.1%
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart -0.3% -0.1%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart -1.8% -2.1%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 4.1%
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -7.720Bln GB
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.0% -0.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -19.311Bln GB -18.400Bln GB
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart -1.2% -1.9%
GDP Prelim Year on Year   0.9% 1.1%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -0.4% 0.2%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.3% 2.3%
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.2% -0.6%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart -1.9% -3.1%
PPI Final Demand Month on Month PPI Final Demand Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.3%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 219k 215k
PPI Core Year on Year PPI Core Year on Year Chart 3.3% 3.2%
PPI excl Food and Energy MM PPI excl Food and Energy MM Chart 0.0% 0.3%

Friday 14 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.0% 0.0%
GDP Flash estimate Year on Year   0.9% 0.9%
Retail Sales Month on Month   0.4% -0.1%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   0.4% 0.3%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.9% 0.3%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.0%

Sunday 16 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Quarter on Quarter   0.3% 0.3%

Monday 17 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Revised Industrial Production Revised Chart 0.3%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -1.816Bln EU
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 16.4Bln EU
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 231.5k

Tuesday 18 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
RBA Cash Rate RBA Cash Rate Chart 4.35% 4.10%
Claimant Count Unemployment Change Claimant Count Unemployment Change Chart 0.7k
Unemployment Rate (ILO) Unemployment Rate (ILO) Chart 4.4%
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Chart 5.6%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart -0.1%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 1.8%
ZEW Current Conditions ZEW Current Conditions Chart -90.4
ZEW Economic sentiment ZEW Economic sentiment Chart 10.3
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 1.8%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart -0.4%
CPI Boc Core Month on Month CPI Boc Core Month on Month Chart -0.3%
CPI BoC Core Year on Year CPI BoC Core Year on Year Chart 1.8%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 130.9Bln JP
Imports Year on Year Imports Year on Year Chart 1.8%
Exports Year on Year Exports Year on Year Chart 2.8%

Wednesday 19 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
RBNZ Rate Decision RBNZ Rate Decision Chart 4.25% 3.75%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart 0.3%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.3%
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) Chart 1.5%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 3.4%
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) Chart 0.0%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 2.5%
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.499Mln

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