Financial Trading Blog

Stock of the day 13/06/2016 – Poundland Group PLC




Since it announced its 99p Stores-takeover last February, something that initially sent the stock to all-time (£4.20-testing) highs things have gone decidedly wrong for Poundland. By the start of 2016 the stock was hovering at a an all-time low of £2.08, something quickly bested by the end of the first week of the year as the company posted a third quarter update distinctly lacking in Christmas cheer. Sending Poundland nearly 13% lower in one day, and leaving it circling £1.40 by the beginning of February, that update saw the high street retailer warn that full year profit would be lower after failing to get the ‘usual [Christmas] hike’, in part thanks to ‘depressed footfall’.

Poundland Group PLC Chart June 2016 Spreadex Financial Spread Betting
(Source: IT-Finance.com 13/06/2016)

A brief recovery in final fortnight of February, with the stock tickling £1.80, didn’t last long, and across March and the first half of April Poundland trickled back towards its February lows. That decline was compounded by the company’s year-end statement, with Poundland posting a whopping 4.9% fall in like-for-like sales across the second half of its trading year. News that plans to convert the remaining 99p Stores was ahead of schedule failed to compensate for the sales dive, with the stock at one point hitting a fresh intraday all-time nadir of £1.30.

Luckily Poundland didn’t linger at those lows for long, with a sharp rebound at the end of April allowing the stock to bounce between £1.60 and £1.80 across most of May. Poundland sits at a current trading price of £1.62 (IT-Finacne.com, 13/06/2016).

In terms of its full year figures things are expected to be pretty ugly for Poundland. Annual pre-tax profit is forecast to plunge 89%, from £36.2 million to £4 million year-on-year, following that huge fall in like-for-like sales across the back end of the fiscal year.

Poundland Group PLC has a consensus rating of ‘Hold’ with an average target price of £2.06.

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