Financial Trading Blog

Stock of the day 22/03/2016 – AG Barr PLC




AG Barr’s 2015 may as well have ended in September; after revealing an 11.3% fall in half year pre-tax profits to £16.9 million the stock slumped around 8%, a decline that continued until the company hit lows not seen since late 2013. And once it fell below the £5.30 mark the stock couldn’t really recover, a dull final quarter eventually ending with AG Barr at £5.31.

Whilst that gradual slide continued as 2016 got underway, the Irn Bru-maker’s fortunes briefly improved at the end of January as the company revealed its latest update. Despite a ‘challenging and highly competitive’ market the company revealed it expects to see only a slight 1.5% dip in revenue to £257 million after a notably improved performance in its second half, with fourth quarter revenue actually growing by 2.5%. That leaves the company on track to meet the slight 1% dip in underlying profits (to £41.5 million) expected by analysts.

AG Barr Chart March 2016
(Source: IT-Finance.com 22/03/2016)

That vaguely reassuring update saw the stock hit a 5-ish month high of £5.57 as January came to a close, investors buoyed by AG Barr’s course-righting results. Frustratingly for AG Barr that rise was to be short-lived, the stock seeing its first sustained fall under £5 since late 2012 after plunging around 10% in the first week of February thanks to the market-wide sell-off that opened the month. Things did pick up at the start of March, however, the broad recovery seeing AG Barr climb all the way back to £5.58.

Yet George Osborne soon to put a stop to AG Barr’s recovery. As the Chancellor announced a new sugar tax on soft drinks in his annual budget last Wednesday investors fled AG Barr like the plague, the stock dropping over 7% in 2 days as questions arose over the long-term cost of the new levy. Reports that soft drinks companies may be lining up a legal challenge to the tax has seen AG Barr recover some of those losses, though it still sits at a far reduced current trading price of £5.14 (IT-Finance.com, 22/03/2016). The company now faces the unenviable task of having to answer investors’ questions over the impact of the sugar tax whilst also delivering on its promise of matching its full year expectations.

AG Barr PLC has a consensus rating of ‘Hold’ with an average target price of £5.86.

DISCLAIMER


Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investors lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. For professional clients, spread betting and CFD trading can also result in losses larger than your initial stake or deposit.

Spreadex Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, provides an execution only service and does not provide advice in any way. Nothing within this update should be deemed to constitute the provision of investment advice, recommendations, any other professional advice in any way, or a record of our trading prices. This update does not constitute or form part of an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument, nor shall it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract therefore. Any persons placing trades based on their interpretation of the comments or information within this update does so entirely at their own risk.

 No representation, warranty, or undertaking, express or limited, is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained within this update by Spreadex Ltd or any of its employees and no liability is accepted by such persons for the accuracy or completeness of any such information or opinions. As such, no reliance may be placed for any purpose on the information and opinions contained within this update. 

The information contained within this update is the intellectual property of Spreadex Ltd and is protected by UK and International copyright laws. All rights reserved. Users may however freely download, distribute and reproduce extracts of the contents, subject always to accrediting Spreadex Ltd as the source and providing a hyperlink to machibet77.com.