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Sports Blog 12/07/2017: State of Origin 3rd Match Preview – Queensland vs New South Wales, Wednesday 12th July 2017



Who will win the 2017 State of Origin series, Queensland or New South Wales?

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As they did last year, the 2 teams head into the final game neck-and-neck with 1 win apiece. Queensland got hammered on home turf in the first match, with the Blues scoring 5 tries and 4 out of 5 conversions to secure a thumping 4-28 victory.

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks five-eighth James Maloney was the star of that game, scoring 16 of the visitors 18 points including the opening try, and goes into Wednesday’s game at a Super Mega Player Try Minutes spread of 9-12.

Yet Queensland fought back when they headed to the ANZ Stadium in Sydney. The Maroons were trailing 16-12 with just a few minutes to go, only for a late try from Dane Gagai – who sits at a Super Mega Player Try Minutes spread of 21-15 – and subsequent conversion from Jonathan Thurston allowing them to steal a 16-18 win from the jaws of defeat.

Thanks to the strength of their first match victory and the narrow nature of their second game loss, New South Wales are odds on favourites, with a fixed odds price of 4/5 to Queensland’s 11/10. However, the Blues don’t have the best record in the competition. Between 2006 and 2016 they have only won the State of Origin trophy once, in 2014, where they had the thing sewn up heading into the last game.

Nevertheless, Laurie Daley’s men have the advantage ahead of Wednesday, despite playing at the Suncorp Stadium, with Spreadex offering a New South Wales/Queensland (h) Points Supremacy spread of 0-3 alongside a Total Points spread of 31-34.

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