Preview
The weekend’s Premier League action starts with table-toppers Chelsea aiming to open up a nine-point gap at the top of the table in their early 12.30pm kick-off at struggling Crystal Palace. If form is anything to go by then the Blues should have no problem – Antonio Conte’s men have now won 10 league matches in a row while Alan Pardew’s Eagles by contrast have just one win in 10. The Spreadex traders fully expect the West Londoners to continue their charge, offering a Goal Supremacy spread betting price of Chelsea/Crystal Palace (h) 0.9 – 1.1 with the fixed odds at 8/13 for a Chelsea win, 9/2 Palace and 3/1 the draw. So while the traders – and punters – seem to feel Chelsea will march on, Total Goals could be a slightly more interesting market to look at, with the Spreadex spread 2.85 – 3.05. Palace games of late have been entertaining affairs with all of the last eight matches yielding at least three goals and with a fairly astonishing 39 goals having been plundered altogether in these eight encounters. Chelsea meanwhile have been more Scrooge-like with three 1-0 wins in their last five and having kept eight clean sheets in their last 10. So, perhaps reflecting how customers think the hosts will struggle to break through the Blues’ rearguard, we’ve seen buyers of Time of 1st Palace Goal on a spread of 59 – 62 (makes up at 90 if Palace fail to score) and sellers of Palace Total Goal Minutes at 46 and Palace Goals at 0.85. Saturday’s 5.30pm match is West Brom v Man United with the Red Devils looking to continue their recent resurgence. Jose Mourinho may have been under pressure of late, but United have only lost once in the league since September albeit probably having drawn a few too many matches on the way since then. Even so, there have been signs that some of the big name signings are finally starting to click into gear perhaps explaining why the Spreadex traders give United a fairly strong Goal Supremacy advantage of Man Utd/West Brom (h) 0.75 – 0.95 despite being away from home. On the fixed odds, United are 4/6 for the win, West Brom 17/4 and the draw 13/5. The Baggies have also been in decent nick of late since their 4-0 dismantling at the Hawthorns at the hands of Man City in October. In the six matches since then they have won four, drawn one and only narrowly lost 1-0 to leaders Chelsea after a disciplined defensive display. Goals have also been flowing with Salomon Rodon bagging a hat-trick of headers in West Brom’s 3-1 midweek win over Swansea. Headed Goal Minutes incidentally for this one are 28 – 31. Total Goal Minutes, however, are priced on the lower side of things here at 2.4 – 2.6 indicating our traders think it could be cagey and Spreadex punters are have mixed views with a bit of feeling that West Brom may be able to eek out a point against the visitors. Sunday’s two televised matches are a south-coast derby at 1.30pm as Bournemouth host Southampton at 1.30pm before a potential blockbuster of a match at 4pm as troubled Man City host an Arsenal side smarting from a midweek reverse at Everton. Saints and Bournemouth sit ninth and tenth in the table respectively, both on 21 points from 16 games played and the Spreadex traders also find it hard to split these two with a Goal Supremacy price of Bournemouth/Southampton 0 – 0.2 with the fixed odds at 2/1 Bournemouth, 8/5 Saints and 11/5 the draw. Claude Puel has had a decent season so far after replacing Ronald Koeman but his side have been fairly brittle on the road with just one win in their last matches away from home. Bournemouth have had a mixed time of things at home this season, but two wins from the last two at the Goldsands suggest they may just have what it takes to take all three points again, especially with Southampton missing leading marksman Charlie Austin. And so on to Sunday’s big clash at the Etihad and both sides will be eager to gain the full three points to keep tabs with Chelsea at the summit. City have won just four of their last 10 Premier League matches while Arsenal’s 2-1 defeat at Everton on Tuesday was their first in the league since the opening day. Despite this, the Spreadex traders still give the Citizens a reasonable advantage with a Goal Supremacy spread of City/Arsenal 0.3 – 0.5 with the fixed odds at even money for a City win, 12/5 Arsenal and 5/2 the draw. Punters seem to feel that the Gunners are better placed to get something out of this – particularly with City missing Sergio Aguero, Fernandinho and Ilkay Gundogan. They are also backed up by recent results from this fixture showing three Arsenal wins and three draws from the last six meetings between the sides.
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