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Though both already through to the last-16, England and Japan still need to decided who is going to top Group D. Scotland, meanwhile, only have one option this Wednesday if their debut competition is to continue... Japan vs England, 8pm on BBC OneIt’s been a solid competition for Phil Neville’s lot, 6 points from 2 games earned in fairly efficient fashion. Something a bit flashier might be nice on Wednesday, then, even if a draw would be enough for them to finish in 1st.
There is an added element to the final group game that could make it important from a psychological perspective. Japan – 2011 champions and 2015 beaten finalists – were the side that muted the roar of the Lionesses last time out, Laura Bassett’s injury time own-goal heartbreakingly sending England out in the semi-finals. Following a frustrating goalless draw against Argentina, Asako Takakura’s women got their competition back on track with a 2-1 win over Scotland in Renne, costing off their 2-0 lead in the 1st half. That means they would need a win to top the group, a move that would help them avoid Netherlands or Canada in the next round. England are among the most fancied sides in France. Their Outright Index spread of 44-48 teases another semi-final, placing them behind the USA at 48-52, Germany at 48-51 and the hosts at 47-50. Japan, on the other hand, are at 26-29, suggesting the might struggle to make it 3 finals in a row. Steph Houghton and co. can make a statement with a win on Wednesday, especially if they do so with a rotated starting 11. Spreadex have them at an England/Japan Goal Supremacy spread of 0.3-0.5, alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.1-2.3. Scotland vs Argentina, 8pm on BBC FourFinally reaching a World Cup proper, Scotland’s competition is already at risk of being over. Their losses may have been narrow, but they’ve been losses nonetheless, leaving their without a solitary point going into their final game. There is still hope. There’s every chance they will beat a pretty lifeless Argentina, with Spreadex offering a Scotland/Argentina Goal Supremacy spread of 0.95-1.15, alongside a Total Goals spread of 2.75-2.95. Then they would need to pray that Chile, Thailand, New Zealand and Cameroon don’t pick up better goal difference records.
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