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WILL THE THREE LIONS REACH THEIR FIRST EVER EURO FINAL?

england v denmark, 8pm itv 1

After travelling to Rome for their quarter-final against Ukraine, England are back at Wembley and face a date with destiny in front of their own fans. After a rock-solid series of defensive performances so far, the Three Lions are the first team to not concede in 5 consecutive matches at the Euros. The last such run in a major tournament for England was in their World Cup winning campaign in 1966 - a coincidence or a happy omen?

They also seemed to have rediscovered their scoring form after a fairly lean spell of just four goals in their first four games, but doubled this tally with their 4-0 demolition of Ukraine. Now facing a team that has been hugely impressive so far but not a traditional 'heavyweight' nation of the likes of Germany, France, Italy or Spain, Gareth Southgate's side will surely be confident of going one better than in the 2018 World Cup.

So, what are the odds of football 'coming home'? Well, the odds have slightly shifted after Italy were confirmed as finalists last night, with it now looking more likely to be 'coming Rome'. The Italians are now at 10/11 on the fixed odds to lift the trophy, while England are at 7/5, and Denmark are available at 17/2.

Twenty-five years after England's last Euros semi-final, which of course saw them infamously lose on penalties at Wembley, the Three Lions have another chance. Intriguingly, their 4-0 win over Ukraine in the quarters was their first victory by 3+ goals in a major tournament knockout match since 2002, when England beat Denmark 3-0 in their last competitive H2H win.

The two sides have played on 6 occasions since then, with Denmark having a fairly impressive record. They won the last H2H (which also took place at Wembley) 1-0 in the Nations League last year, with two other victories, two defeats and a draw. Riding on a wave of emotion and looking to emulate the famous EURO 1992-winning Danish team, they are available at 19/4 to shock Wembley again. They are also available at 9/4 to qualify, and at 9/1 to repeat their 1-0 victory from last year.

With Harry Kane seemingly nearing top form and full of confidence after 3 goals in his last 2 matches, England will be looking at their main man to produce once again. You can back Kane to repeat his exploits against Ukraine by backing him to Score First at 10/3, while he is available at 11/2 to Score a Header, as he did against Germany and Ukraine. On the spreads, Kane Headed Goal Mins are at 5-8, with PGMs at 26-29 and SMMs at 41-48.

Denmark have scored six goals after the 75th minute across their last nine internationals, making them a constant threat. If any late goals see this clash reach a shootout - like both of these sides’ last respective Euro semis - then that may favour Denmark as they have a 50% success rate (W1, L1) in shootouts at the Euros, compared to England’s 25% (W1, L3). Both sides are available at 12/1 to win the tie on penalties.

All in all, England will surely believe this is arguably their best ever chance to get their hands on the EURO trophy. Playing both the semi and a potential final at home at Wembley Stadium, having a squad of fantastic depth and quality, and reaching this stage full of confidence and with a minimum of psychological scarring, they are at 4/5 to grab the win within 90 mins, and at 1/3 to qualify. On the spreads, we have an England/Denmark Goal Supremacy spread of 0.65-0.85, a TGMs spread of 109-119, and Total Goals at 2.15-2.35.

So, will it be 'coming home', 'coming Rome', or won 'for Christian'? All will be revealed very soon.

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