Andrew Mount's Racing Tips

Andrew Mount's Racing Tips - 03.10.24



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Andrew found 17-2 Kempton winner KALAMUNDA on Wednesday and has three more recommended bets/trades on Thursday, October 3rd.

BELLEWSTOWN 3.10

Jessica Harrington won this fillies and mares handicap in 2022 with the first-time blinkered My Minervina and PRESENCE, who also sports first-time headgear (cheekpieces), can repeat the dose. The daughter of New Bay has form figures on turf of 4122 (1-4) and will appreciate today’s yielding going after finding the good ground too quick when runner-up at Punchestown on her latest assignment. Her sire’s progeny have a fine record in handicaps on the back of a top-three finish, landing 108 of their 422 starts (25.6%) for a profit of £115.73 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 79.60, A/E = 1.36). Buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price (13-8 at the time of writing).

Recommendation: Back PRESENCE in Bellewstown 3.10

 

SALISBURY 3.15

ROCK HUNTER, a debut winner in France on heavy going, finished a close second at Ascot (good to soft) and Sandown (soft) on his first two runs in Britain and can be forgiven subsequent form figures of 0670 (0-4), as all came on unsuitably fast going (her Deauville seventh came on officially soft going but the race times suggest it was closer to good). He’s been gelded since finishing down the field at York’s Ebor meeting and progeny of Expert Eye are six from 29 on their first run back after a gelding operation (+£3.42 to a £1 level stake at SP).  Buy at 11 in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price (11-1).

Recommendation: Back ROCK HUNTER in Salisbury 3.15

 

SOUTHWELL 4.40

Harry Derham has a cracking record at the first time of asking with horses he takes over from other yards, scoring with 19 of the 46 qualifiers (41.3%) for a profit of £60.64 to a £1 level stake at SP (expected winners = 10.29, A/E = 1.85). DIPLOMATIE, a multiple winner in France and Jersey, is a fascinating recruit for the up-and-coming trainer and can run a big race. Buy at 11 in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price (15-2).

Recommendation: Back DIPLOMATIE in Southwell 4.40

 

Please note that these are examples of winning bets from the past week, and it is important to remember that spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses larger than your initial stake/deposit.

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